№ 2 - 2012
Lurie S.V., Kazaryan L.G.
Crisis of the Modern World: New Forms of Sociality

It’s the problem of geopolitical prognostication that is considered in the article. In order to specify the problem, a typology of international political activity is proposed. Mental structures of an actor of the international politics are described. Starting from this point as the basis of medium-term prognostication the method of indicators is suggested. The characteristic feature of this method is combination of scientific approach to, and of expert artistic perception of, political impact.